Are the chances of winning good
To plan your own life, worth understanding, what is the probability of winning a green card. Formally, a draw is a lottery, not a competition, but in practice, regional quotas play a significant role (which are higher for densely populated parts of the world) and local coefficients, which sometimes apply to individual countries. Anti-fraud mechanisms sometimes play a role..
In order to assess your own chances, useful to find out, who most often wins the green card. If we talk about global regions, then natives most often win:
- from Africa: 49 000 (42 % from all winners) at 2019 r. and 38 000 (43 %) at 2019 g.;
- from Europe: 42 000 (37 %) at 2019 r. and 30 000 (34 %) at 2019 r.
By itself, and most applications come from the same regions: nearly 11 million per year from Africa and 7 million - from Europe. Representatives of North America almost never get visas (15 man in 2019 g i 19 - in 2019).
The well-known statistics of the winners of the green card by country looks interesting. Most often in 2019 citizens of such countries won:
- Iran and Russia - by 4 500 winners, 4,5 % from all winners and 0,02 % from all applications;
- Congo - 4 497 man;
- Ethiopia - 4 496;
- Egypt - 4 495;
- Uzbekistan - 4 494 human;
- Albania - 4 484;
- Ukraine - 4 478;
- Nepal - 4 097 or 4,1 % from all winners;
- Liberia - 3 989;
- Sudan - 3 781;
- Ghana - 3 549;
- Kenya - 2 997 or 3 % all winners;
- Armenia - 2 844 human.
Because of, that a strictly limited number of quotas is allocated to a certain region and country, number of applications for a green card in each country, region and around the world also greatly affects the likelihood of victory. At the same time, due to rumors about the intentions of US President Donald Trump to cancel the rally or cut the number of quotas, the number of applications is growing every year. Therefore, the sooner you apply, the more chances she will have of winning.
To assess the chances, you need to know roughly, how many people participate in the green card drawing, and this information becomes available only after the closing of the acceptance of applications. Nevertheless, you can roughly focus on the figures for past years.. So, only 2019 год было подано 22 425 053 заявки – что дает оценку шансов на победу в 0,4 %.
Due to the limited number of quotas for each country, the chances of Russian citizens to win will largely depend not even on the total number of participants, and from that, how many Russians participate in the Green Card lottery. for instance, для участия в DV-2018 от граждан РФ поступило 221 372 заявки, of which the winners became 4 500.
For, to increase the chances of winning, each family member must apply, eligible for the program.
